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Pupil numbers forecast

Pupil forecasts are informed estimates of the number of pupils that there will be at individual schools over a 10 year period. Forecasts are required in a number of returns to the Department for Education, as well as being of great use for the local authority as a means to ensure a timely and effective response where there is growth or decline in the local pupil population. The results from the forecasting process are made available to schools in order to support their planning.

It is important to note that pupil forecasts are estimates. The forecasting methodology seeks to achieve a high level of accuracy, however, over a ten-year period there will be unknowns that cannot be reasonably predicted. For example, economic shifts can alter rates of new house build, the popularity of individual schools can suddenly and unexpectedly change and when forecasting numbers of pupils that have not yet been born absolute precision is not possible.

Content is available within the My School section of the site.